Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Result: 1-3 — How the Model Called It, 15 October 2026
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union finished 1-3 on 15 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Chicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia Union.
- Result: Philadelphia Union.
- The model gave this outcome a 36.0% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Chicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer, 15 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 38.1% |
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Philadelphia Union | 36.0% |
The model made Chicago Fire the most likely outcome at 38.1%. What happened was Philadelphia Union, which it gave 36.0%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- Chicago Fire — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Philadelphia Union — Profile, squad and fixtures
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