Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities for 13 September 2026

MatchSense model probabilities for Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal on 13 September 2026. Form, the table and the head-to-head behind the numbers.

Key takeaways

The model's highest probability outcome is Colorado Rapids at 54.4%.
Colorado Rapids: 54.4%.
Draw: 23.6%.
CF Montreal: 22.0%.
Colorado Rapids come in on 5-0-5 from their last 10.
The estimate is revised when confirmed team sheets arrive.

Colorado Rapids take on CF Montreal on 13 September 2026, 01:30 UTC in Major League Soccer. Below are the MatchSense model's probabilities for this fixture, alongside the form and head-to-head context behind them.

The model's read

Outcome	Model probability
Colorado Rapids	54.4%
Draw	23.6%
CF Montreal	22.0%

These are frequencies, not forecasts — 55% describes how often similar fixtures end that way, not what will happen here.

How both sides arrive

Colorado Rapids have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, keeping 5 clean sheets. CF Montreal have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, averaging 1.2 scored and 2.1 conceded.

Where the numbers come from

Attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, the run of recent results, home advantage and who is fit all feed the estimate. A first estimate goes out well before kickoff; a second follows when the team sheets are confirmed.

The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.

Go deeper

Full Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Major League Soccer table and fixtures
Colorado Rapids — Profile, squad and fixtures
CF Montreal — Profile, squad and fixtures

This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.

Frequently asked questions

Who is more likely to win, Colorado Rapids or CF Montreal?

The MatchSense model gives Colorado Rapids the highest probability at 54.4%. That is a real but not decisive edge over the other results.

When do Colorado Rapids and CF Montreal play?

Kick-off is scheduled for 13 September 2026, 01:30 UTC in Major League Soccer.

What form are Colorado Rapids and CF Montreal in?

Colorado Rapids have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, keeping 5 clean sheets. CF Montreal have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, averaging 1.2 scored and 2.1 conceded. Recent form is one of the inputs behind the probabilities above.

How is the model's accuracy measured?

The model is scored against past results, so a 60% probability has historically landed near 60% of the time. A single match remains uncertain.

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