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FOOTBALLMajor League Soccermatch-recap11/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 11 October 2026

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes finished 1-1 on 11 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 24.9% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer, 11 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Colorado Rapids45.8%
Draw24.9%
San Jose Earthquakes29.3%

The model made Colorado Rapids the most likely outcome at 45.8%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 24.9%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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