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FOOTBALLMajor League Soccermatch-recap15/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

DC United vs New York Red Bulls Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 14 October 2026

DC United vs New York Red Bulls finished 2-1 on 14 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: DC United 2-1 New York Red Bulls.
  • Result: DC United.
  • The model gave this outcome a 38.3% chance before kick-off.

Final score

DC United 2-1 New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer, 14 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave DC United vs New York Red Bulls these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
DC United38.3%
Draw26.5%
New York Red Bulls35.2%

The model's most likely outcome — DC United at 38.3% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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