Dewa United vs Persijap Prediction — Model Probabilities for 20 October 2026
MatchSense model probabilities for Dewa United vs Persijap on 20 October 2026. With recent form and previous meetings for context.
Key takeaways
- The model's highest probability outcome is Dewa United at 62.9%.
- Dewa United: 62.9%.
- Draw: 21.9%.
- Persijap: 15.2%.
- Dewa United are 2nd in the table, Persijap 18th.
- The estimate is revised when confirmed team sheets arrive.
Dewa United take on Persijap on 20 October 2026, 12:00 UTC in Liga 1. Below are the MatchSense model's probabilities for this fixture, alongside the form and head-to-head context behind them.
Dewa United sit 2nd in the Liga 1 table on 11 points from 5 games, with Persijap 18th on 0 points — 16 places apart in a 22-team competition.
What the model makes of it
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Dewa United | 62.9% |
| Draw | 21.9% |
| Persijap | 15.2% |
Read a probability as a long-run frequency: a 55% call means fixtures that look like this one finish that way roughly 55 times in 100.
Recent form
Dewa United stretch an unbeaten run of 5 into this one, conceding just 0.8 a game. Persijap come in with 7 defeats in 10, keeping 3 clean sheets.
When these two have met
The two have met just twice in our records. They last met on 29 April 2026: Dewa United 1-0 Persijap, Dewa United taking it.
How are these numbers produced?
Attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, the run of recent results, home advantage and who is fit all feed the estimate. A first estimate goes out well before kickoff; a second follows when the team sheets are confirmed.
The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.
Go deeper
- Full Dewa United vs Persijap analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Liga 1 table and fixtures
- Dewa United — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Persijap — Profile, squad and fixtures
This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.
Frequently asked questions
Who is more likely to win, Dewa United or Persijap?
The MatchSense model gives Dewa United the highest probability at 62.9%. That is a clear lead, though the remainder still sits with the other outcomes.
When do Dewa United and Persijap play?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20 October 2026, 12:00 UTC in Liga 1.
What happened the last time Dewa United played Persijap?
They last met on 29 April 2026, Dewa United 1-0 Persijap. Across both meetings, Dewa United have won 2, Persijap 0, with 0 drawn.
How reliable is this estimate?
They are calibrated against historical fixtures: across a set of 60% calls, close to 60% should actually happen. No model can make a single match certain.
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