FOOTBALLLigue 1match-recap13/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Estac Troyes vs Marseille Result: 0-2 — How the Model Called It, 11 October 2026
Estac Troyes vs Marseille finished 0-2 on 11 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Estac Troyes 0-2 Marseille.
- Result: Marseille.
- The model gave this outcome a 44.3% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Estac Troyes 0-2 Marseille in Ligue 1, 11 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Estac Troyes vs Marseille these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 28.8% |
| Draw | 27.0% |
| Marseille | 44.3% |
The model's most likely outcome — Marseille at 44.3% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Estac Troyes vs Marseille analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Ligue 1 table and fixtures
- Estac Troyes — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Marseille — Profile, squad and fixtures
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