FOOTBALLLigue 1match-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Estac Troyes vs Paris FC Result: 0-0 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026
Estac Troyes vs Paris FC finished 0-0 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Estac Troyes 0-0 Paris FC.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 27.6% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Estac Troyes 0-0 Paris FC in Ligue 1, 22 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Estac Troyes vs Paris FC these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 31.9% |
| Draw | 27.6% |
| Paris FC | 40.4% |
The model made Paris FC the most likely outcome at 40.4%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 27.6%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Estac Troyes vs Paris FC analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Ligue 1 table and fixtures
- Estac Troyes — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Paris FC — Profile, squad and fixtures
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