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FOOTBALLMajor League Soccermatch-recap13/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte Result: 3-3 — How the Model Called It, 12 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte finished 3-3 on 12 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: FC Cincinnati 3-3 Charlotte.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 25.7% chance before kick-off.

Final score

FC Cincinnati 3-3 Charlotte in Major League Soccer, 12 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
FC Cincinnati43.1%
Draw25.7%
Charlotte31.3%

The model made FC Cincinnati the most likely outcome at 43.1%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 25.7%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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