Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities for 5 September 2026

Fulham host Crystal Palace on 5 September 2026, 14:00 UTC in Premier League. The MatchSense model is analysing this fixture; its probabilities appear here once published.

Fulham sit 19th in the Premier League table on 0 points from 3 games, with Crystal Palace 13th on 3 points.

What each side brings into this

Fulham bring a record of 3-2-5 from their last 10, keeping 3 clean sheets. Crystal Palace come in with 6 defeats in 10, averaging 0.9 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Previous meetings

Across 5 meetings it is close: 1 to Fulham, 2 to Crystal Palace, 2 drawn. They last met on 1 January 2026, Crystal Palace drawing 1-1.

Beyond the match result, the model also prices 2 further markets for this fixture — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market, and a confidence band. Those sit on the match analysis page.

Behind the estimate

It starts from a Dixon-Coles style goal model, adds Elo ratings, recent results, home advantage and squad availability. A first estimate goes out well before kickoff; a second follows when the team sheets are confirmed.

The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.

Go deeper

• Full Fulham vs Crystal Palace analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
• Premier League table and fixtures
• Fulham — Profile, squad and fixtures
• Crystal Palace — Profile, squad and fixtures

This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.