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FOOTBALLLiga 1match-recap17/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Garudayaksa vs Arema FC Result: 3-1 — How the Model Called It, 17 October 2026

Garudayaksa vs Arema FC finished 3-1 on 17 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Garudayaksa 3-1 Arema FC.
  • Result: Garudayaksa.
  • The model gave this outcome a 33.7% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Garudayaksa 3-1 Arema FC in Liga 1, 17 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Garudayaksa vs Arema FC these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Garudayaksa33.7%
Draw26.1%
Arema FC40.2%

The model made Arema FC the most likely outcome at 40.2%. What happened was Garudayaksa, which it gave 33.7%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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