Garudayaksa vs Persik Kediri Prediction — Model Probabilities for 11 September 2026
MatchSense model probabilities for Garudayaksa vs Persik Kediri on 11 September 2026. Form, the table and the head-to-head behind the numbers.
Key takeaways
- The model's highest probability outcome is Garudayaksa at 64.9%.
- Garudayaksa: 64.9%.
- Persik Kediri: 17.9%.
- Draw: 17.2%.
- 1 further market for this fixture is priced on the analysis page.
- Garudayaksa are 12th in the table, Persik Kediri 14th.
- Probabilities are refreshed once confirmed lineups are published.
Garudayaksa host Persik Kediri on 11 September 2026, 08:30 UTC in Liga 1. Below are the MatchSense model's probabilities for this fixture, alongside the form and head-to-head context behind them.
Garudayaksa sit 12th in the Liga 1 table on 1 point from 1 game, with Persik Kediri 14th on 0 points.
Who does the model favour?
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Garudayaksa | 64.9% |
| Persik Kediri | 17.9% |
| Draw | 17.2% |
Read a probability as a long-run frequency: a 55% call means fixtures that look like this one finish that way roughly 55 times in 100.
Recent form
Garudayaksa are still without a win in 1, averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Persik Kediri have lost 6 of their last 10, keeping 3 clean sheets.
Beyond the match result, the model also prices one further market for this fixture — with a modelled price, the difference against the market, and a confidence band. That sits on the match analysis page.
Behind the estimate
It starts from a Dixon-Coles style goal model, adds Elo ratings, recent results, home advantage and squad availability. The numbers are revised when confirmed lineups arrive, because one missing starter can move them several points.
The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.
Go deeper
- Full Garudayaksa vs Persik Kediri analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Liga 1 table and fixtures
- Garudayaksa — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Persik Kediri — Profile, squad and fixtures
This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.
Frequently asked questions
Who is more likely to win, Garudayaksa or Persik Kediri?
The MatchSense model gives Garudayaksa the highest probability at 64.9%. That makes it the model's firm call, with the balance spread across the rest.
When do Garudayaksa and Persik Kediri play?
Kick-off is scheduled for 11 September 2026, 08:30 UTC in Liga 1.
Which markets are analysed for Garudayaksa vs Persik Kediri?
Alongside the match result shown on this page, the model prices 1 further markets — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market and a confidence band, on the match analysis page.
What form are Garudayaksa and Persik Kediri in?
Garudayaksa are still without a win in 1, averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Persik Kediri have lost 6 of their last 10, keeping 3 clean sheets. Recent form is one of the inputs behind the probabilities above.
How is the model's accuracy measured?
They are calibrated against historical fixtures: across a set of 60% calls, close to 60% should actually happen. No model can make a single match certain.
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