FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap29/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Genoa vs Juventus Result: 2-0 — How the Model Called It, 28 October 2026
Genoa vs Juventus finished 2-0 on 28 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Genoa 2-0 Juventus.
- Result: Genoa.
- The model gave this outcome a 16.3% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Genoa 2-0 Juventus in Serie A, 28 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Genoa vs Juventus these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Genoa | 16.3% |
| Draw | 26.4% |
| Juventus | 57.2% |
The model made Juventus the most likely outcome at 57.2%. What happened was Genoa, which it gave 16.3%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Genoa vs Juventus analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- Genoa — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Juventus — Profile, squad and fixtures
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