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FOOTBALLPremier Leaguematch-recap24/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 23 October 2026

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest finished 1-1 on 23 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 29.8% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest in Premier League, 23 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Ipswich31.4%
Draw29.8%
Nottingham Forest38.8%

The model made Nottingham Forest the most likely outcome at 38.8%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 29.8%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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