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FOOTBALLUEFA Champions League Womenmatch-recap23/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Juventus W vs SL Benfica W Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 22 September 2026

Juventus W vs SL Benfica W finished 1-2 on 22 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Juventus W 1-2 SL Benfica W.
  • Result: SL Benfica W.
  • The model gave this outcome a 21.2% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Juventus W 1-2 SL Benfica W in UEFA Champions League Women, 22 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Juventus W vs SL Benfica W these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Juventus W56.7%
Draw22.1%
SL Benfica W21.2%

The model made Juventus W the most likely outcome at 56.7%. What happened was SL Benfica W, which it gave 21.2%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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