Real Madrid W vs Paris Saint Germain W Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 22 September 2026
Real Madrid W vs Paris Saint Germain W finished 1-1 on 22 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Real Madrid W 1-1 Paris Saint Germain W.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 22.6% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Real Madrid W 1-1 Paris Saint Germain W in UEFA Champions League Women, 22 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Real Madrid W vs Paris Saint Germain W these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid W | 54.9% |
| Draw | 22.6% |
| Paris Saint Germain W | 22.5% |
The model made Real Madrid W the most likely outcome at 54.9%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 22.6%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Real Madrid W vs Paris Saint Germain W analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Champions League Women table and fixtures
- Real Madrid W — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Paris Saint Germain W — Profile, squad and fixtures
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