FOOTBALLLigue 1match-recap10/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Lille vs Le Havre Result: 1-0 — How the Model Called It, 10 October 2026
Lille vs Le Havre finished 1-0 on 10 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Lille 1-0 Le Havre.
- Result: Lille.
- The model gave this outcome a 68.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Lille 1-0 Le Havre in Ligue 1, 10 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Lille vs Le Havre these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Lille | 68.7% |
| Draw | 19.7% |
| Le Havre | 11.6% |
The model's most likely outcome — Lille at 68.7% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Lille vs Le Havre analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Ligue 1 table and fixtures
- Lille — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Le Havre — Profile, squad and fixtures
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