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FOOTBALLMajor League Soccermatch-recap19/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 18 October 2026

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego finished 2-2 on 18 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 San Diego.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 25.4% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 San Diego in Major League Soccer, 18 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Los Angeles Galaxy40.7%
Draw25.4%
San Diego33.8%

The model made Los Angeles Galaxy the most likely outcome at 40.7%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 25.4%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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