Lyon vs Auxerre Result: 3-1 — How the Model Called It, 4 September 2026

Lyon vs Auxerre finished 3-1 on 4 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Lyon 3-1 Auxerre.
Result: Lyon.
The model gave this outcome a 59.1% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Lyon 3-1 Auxerre in Ligue 1, 4 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Lyon vs Auxerre these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Lyon	59.1%
Draw	22.5%
Auxerre	18.4%

The model's most likely outcome — Lyon at 59.1% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Lyon vs Auxerre analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Ligue 1 table and fixtures
Lyon — Profile, squad and fixtures
Auxerre — Profile, squad and fixtures

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