Maritimo vs Benfica Result: 0-3 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026

Maritimo vs Benfica finished 0-3 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Maritimo 0-3 Benfica.
Result: Benfica.
The model gave this outcome a 80.9% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Maritimo 0-3 Benfica in Primeira Liga, 5 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Maritimo vs Benfica these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Maritimo	7.9%
Draw	11.1%
Benfica	80.9%

The model's most likely outcome — Benfica at 80.9% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Maritimo vs Benfica analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Primeira Liga table and fixtures
Maritimo — Profile, squad and fixtures
Benfica — Profile, squad and fixtures

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