FOOTBALLPrimeira Ligamatch-recap06/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Maritimo vs Benfica Result: 0-3 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026
Maritimo vs Benfica finished 0-3 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Maritimo 0-3 Benfica.
- Result: Benfica.
- The model gave this outcome a 80.9% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Maritimo 0-3 Benfica in Primeira Liga, 5 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Maritimo vs Benfica these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Maritimo | 7.9% |
| Draw | 11.1% |
| Benfica | 80.9% |
The model's most likely outcome — Benfica at 80.9% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Maritimo vs Benfica analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Primeira Liga table and fixtures
- Maritimo — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Benfica — Profile, squad and fixtures
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