FOOTBALLChampionshipmatch-recap14/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Millwall vs Swansea Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 13 October 2026
Millwall vs Swansea finished 0-1 on 13 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Millwall 0-1 Swansea.
- Result: Swansea.
- The model gave this outcome a 29.4% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Millwall 0-1 Swansea in Championship, 13 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Millwall vs Swansea these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Millwall | 38.5% |
| Draw | 32.1% |
| Swansea | 29.4% |
The model made Millwall the most likely outcome at 38.5%. What happened was Swansea, which it gave 29.4%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Millwall vs Swansea analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Championship table and fixtures
- Millwall — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Swansea — Profile, squad and fixtures
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