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FOOTBALLMajor League Soccermatch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model

New England Revolution vs New York City FC Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 23 August 2026

New England Revolution vs New York City FC finished 1-1 on 23 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: New England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 29.7% chance before kick-off.

Final score

New England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC in Major League Soccer, 23 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave New England Revolution vs New York City FC these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
New England Revolution38.3%
Draw29.7%
New York City FC32.0%

The model made New England Revolution the most likely outcome at 38.3%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 29.7%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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Related reading

New England Revolution vs New York City FC Result (23 August 2026): Final Score & Model Accuracy