Skip to main content
News
FOOTBALLMajor League Soccermatch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026

Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake finished 2-1 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Orlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt Lake.
  • Result: Orlando City SC.
  • The model gave this outcome a 50.5% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Orlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt Lake in Major League Soccer, 22 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Orlando City SC50.5%
Draw25.4%
Real Salt Lake24.1%

The model's most likely outcome — Orlando City SC at 50.5% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Get the weekly briefing

Next week's fixtures, how last week's published picks actually settled, and the newest analysis. One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click.

We never share your address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.

Related reading