Orlando City SC vs San Diego Result: 1-0 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026

Orlando City SC vs San Diego finished 1-0 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Orlando City SC 1-0 San Diego.
Result: Orlando City SC.
The model gave this outcome a 39.9% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Orlando City SC 1-0 San Diego in Major League Soccer, 5 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Orlando City SC vs San Diego these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Orlando City SC	39.9%
Draw	23.8%
San Diego	36.4%

The model's most likely outcome — Orlando City SC at 39.9% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Orlando City SC vs San Diego analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Major League Soccer table and fixtures
Orlando City SC — Profile, squad and fixtures
San Diego — Profile, squad and fixtures

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