FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Parma vs Cagliari Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026
Parma vs Cagliari finished 0-1 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Parma 0-1 Cagliari.
- Result: Cagliari.
- The model gave this outcome a 27.5% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Parma 0-1 Cagliari in Serie A, 22 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Parma vs Cagliari these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Parma | 44.7% |
| Draw | 27.8% |
| Cagliari | 27.5% |
The model made Parma the most likely outcome at 44.7%. What happened was Cagliari, which it gave 27.5%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Parma vs Cagliari analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- Parma — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Cagliari — Profile, squad and fixtures
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