Parma vs Cagliari Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026

Parma vs Cagliari finished 0-1 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Parma 0-1 Cagliari.
Result: Cagliari.
The model gave this outcome a 27.5% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Parma 0-1 Cagliari in Serie A, 22 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Parma vs Cagliari these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Parma	44.7%
Draw	27.8%
Cagliari	27.5%

The model made Parma the most likely outcome at 44.7%. What happened was Cagliari, which it gave 27.5%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Parma vs Cagliari analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Serie A table and fixtures
Parma — Profile, squad and fixtures
Cagliari — Profile, squad and fixtures

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