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FOOTBALLLiga 1match-recap13/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta Result: 1-0 — How the Model Called It, 13 September 2026

Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta finished 1-0 on 13 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PSIM Yogyakarta.
  • Result: Persebaya Surabaya.
  • The model gave this outcome a 65.7% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PSIM Yogyakarta in Liga 1, 13 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIM Yogyakarta these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Persebaya Surabaya65.7%
Draw18.9%
PSIM Yogyakarta15.4%

The model's most likely outcome — Persebaya Surabaya at 65.7% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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