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FOOTBALLLiga 1match-preview16/10/20262 min readMatchSense Model

Persib Bandung vs Persik Kediri Prediction — Model Probabilities for 18 October 2026

MatchSense model probabilities for Persib Bandung vs Persik Kediri on 18 October 2026. With recent form and previous meetings for context.

Key takeaways

  • The model's highest probability outcome is Persib Bandung at 57.1%.
  • Persib Bandung: 57.1%.
  • Draw: 24.0%.
  • Persik Kediri: 18.9%.
  • 4 further markets for this fixture are priced on the analysis page.
  • Persib Bandung are 9th in the table, Persik Kediri 7th.
  • Probabilities are refreshed once confirmed lineups are published.

Persib Bandung take on Persik Kediri on 18 October 2026, 12:00 UTC in Liga 1. This page carries the MatchSense model's probabilities for the fixture — not a tip, but an estimate of how likely each outcome is.

In the Liga 1 table, Persib Bandung are 9th and Persik Kediri 7th, level on points between them.

The model's read

OutcomeModel probability
Persib Bandung57.1%
Draw24.0%
Persik Kediri18.9%

A probability is a rate over many similar matches: 55% means about 55 in 100, and says nothing certain about this one.

How both sides arrive

Persib Bandung bring a record of 6-3-1 from their last 10, keeping 3 clean sheets. Across their last 10, Persik Kediri show 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats, keeping 3 clean sheets.

Previous meetings

3 previous meetings split 2-1-0 in Persib Bandung's favour on the head-to-head. Their previous meeting was on 9 March 2026: Persib Bandung 3-0 Persik Kediri, Persib Bandung taking it.

Beyond the match result, the model also prices 4 further markets for this fixture — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market, and a confidence band. Those sit on the match analysis page.

Where the numbers come from

The model blends both teams' attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, recent form, home advantage and player availability. An early version publishes days before kickoff and is revised once confirmed lineups land.

The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.

Go deeper

This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.

Frequently asked questions

Who is more likely to win, Persib Bandung or Persik Kediri?

The MatchSense model gives Persib Bandung the highest probability at 57.1%. That is a real but not decisive edge over the other results.

When do Persib Bandung and Persik Kediri play?

Kick-off is scheduled for 18 October 2026, 12:00 UTC in Liga 1.

Which markets are analysed for Persib Bandung vs Persik Kediri?

Alongside the match result shown on this page, the model prices 4 further markets — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market and a confidence band, on the match analysis page.

What happened the last time Persib Bandung played Persik Kediri?

They last met on 9 March 2026, Persib Bandung 3-0 Persik Kediri. Across 3 meetings, Persib Bandung have won 2, Persik Kediri 0, with 1 drawn.

How accurate are these probabilities?

The model is scored against past results, so a 60% probability has historically landed near 60% of the time. A single match remains uncertain.

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