Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 17 October 2026
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte finished 2-2 on 17 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Charlotte.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 21.2% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Philadelphia Union 2-2 Charlotte in Major League Soccer, 17 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union | 57.8% |
| Draw | 21.2% |
| Charlotte | 21.1% |
The model made Philadelphia Union the most likely outcome at 57.8%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 21.2%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- Philadelphia Union — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Charlotte — Profile, squad and fixtures
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