Portland Timbers vs Austin Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 30 August 2026

Portland Timbers vs Austin finished 1-2 on 30 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Portland Timbers 1-2 Austin.
Result: Austin.
The model gave this outcome a 20.2% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Portland Timbers 1-2 Austin in Major League Soccer, 30 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Portland Timbers vs Austin these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Portland Timbers	57.2%
Draw	22.6%
Austin	20.2%

The model made Portland Timbers the most likely outcome at 57.2%. What happened was Austin, which it gave 20.2%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Portland Timbers vs Austin analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Major League Soccer table and fixtures
Portland Timbers — Profile, squad and fixtures
Austin — Profile, squad and fixtures

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