QPR vs Cardiff Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 2 September 2026

QPR vs Cardiff finished 2-1 on 2 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: QPR 2-1 Cardiff.
Result: QPR.
The model gave this outcome a 41.1% chance before kick-off.

Final score

QPR 2-1 Cardiff in Championship, 2 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave QPR vs Cardiff these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
QPR	41.1%
Draw	22.8%
Cardiff	36.2%

The model's most likely outcome — QPR at 41.1% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full QPR vs Cardiff analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Championship table and fixtures
QPR — Profile, squad and fixtures
Cardiff — Profile, squad and fixtures

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