Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 20 August 2026
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves finished 1-1 on 20 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Alaves.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 25.4% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Alaves in La Liga, 20 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 49.8% |
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Alaves | 24.8% |
The model made Rayo Vallecano the most likely outcome at 49.8%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 25.4%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- La Liga table and fixtures
- Rayo Vallecano — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Alaves — Profile, squad and fixtures
Get the weekly briefing
Next week's fixtures, how last week's published picks actually settled, and the newest analysis. One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click.
We never share your address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.
Related reading
- How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities
- Espanyol vs Sevilla Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 6 September 2026
- Malaga vs Levante Result: 0-0 — How the Model Called It, 6 September 2026
- Alaves vs Osasuna Result: 5-2 — How the Model Called It, 6 September 2026
- Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities for 11 September 2026