Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 15 October 2026
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes finished 1-1 on 15 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Real Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 25.2% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Real Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer, 15 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake | 45.6% |
| Draw | 25.2% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 29.2% |
The model made Real Salt Lake the most likely outcome at 45.6%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 25.2%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- Real Salt Lake — Profile, squad and fixtures
- San Jose Earthquakes — Profile, squad and fixtures
Get the weekly briefing
Next week's fixtures, how last week's published picks actually settled, and the newest analysis. One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click.
We never share your address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.
Related reading
- How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities
- Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026
- Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026
- Orlando City SC vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026
- New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026