FOOTBALLLigue 1match-recap13/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Rennes vs Auxerre Result: 4-1 — How the Model Called It, 11 October 2026
Rennes vs Auxerre finished 4-1 on 11 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Rennes 4-1 Auxerre.
- Result: Rennes.
- The model gave this outcome a 63.0% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Rennes 4-1 Auxerre in Ligue 1, 11 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Rennes vs Auxerre these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Rennes | 63.0% |
| Draw | 20.6% |
| Auxerre | 16.5% |
The model's most likely outcome — Rennes at 63.0% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Rennes vs Auxerre analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Ligue 1 table and fixtures
- Rennes — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Auxerre — Profile, squad and fixtures
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