San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Result: 1-0 — How the Model Called It, 13 September 2026
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo finished 1-0 on 13 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston Dynamo.
- Result: San Jose Earthquakes.
- The model gave this outcome a 38.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston Dynamo in Major League Soccer, 13 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 38.7% |
| Draw | 28.8% |
| Houston Dynamo | 32.4% |
The model's most likely outcome — San Jose Earthquakes at 38.7% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- San Jose Earthquakes — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Houston Dynamo — Profile, squad and fixtures
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