Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 29 August 2026

Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire finished 2-2 on 29 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Seattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago Fire.
Result: A draw.
The model gave this outcome a 28.0% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Seattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer, 29 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Seattle Sounders	34.7%
Draw	28.0%
Chicago Fire	37.3%

The model made Chicago Fire the most likely outcome at 37.3%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 28.0%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Major League Soccer table and fixtures
Seattle Sounders — Profile, squad and fixtures
Chicago Fire — Profile, squad and fixtures

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