St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 23 August 2026
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo finished 2-1 on 23 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: St. Louis City 2-1 Houston Dynamo.
- Result: St. Louis City.
- The model gave this outcome a 51.3% chance before kick-off.
Final score
St. Louis City 2-1 Houston Dynamo in Major League Soccer, 23 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| St. Louis City | 51.3% |
| Draw | 23.7% |
| Houston Dynamo | 25.0% |
The model's most likely outcome — St. Louis City at 51.3% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- St. Louis City — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Houston Dynamo — Profile, squad and fixtures
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