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FOOTBALLMajor League Soccermatch-recap13/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC Result: 4-2 — How the Model Called It, 13 September 2026

St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC finished 4-2 on 13 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: St. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United FC.
  • Result: St. Louis City.
  • The model gave this outcome a 41.2% chance before kick-off.

Final score

St. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United FC in Major League Soccer, 13 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
St. Louis City41.2%
Draw27.2%
Minnesota United FC31.6%

The model's most likely outcome — St. Louis City at 41.2% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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