FOOTBALLChampionshipmatch-recap14/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Result: 2-3 — How the Model Called It, 13 October 2026
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough finished 2-3 on 13 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Stoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough.
- Result: Middlesbrough.
- The model gave this outcome a 52.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Stoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough in Championship, 13 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Stoke City vs Middlesbrough these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Stoke City | 21.9% |
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Middlesbrough | 52.7% |
The model's most likely outcome — Middlesbrough at 52.7% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Stoke City vs Middlesbrough analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Championship table and fixtures
- Stoke City — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Middlesbrough — Profile, squad and fixtures
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