FOOTBALLMajor League Soccermatch-recap11/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 10 October 2026
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal finished 2-1 on 10 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montreal.
- Result: Toronto FC.
- The model gave this outcome a 47.8% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montreal in Major League Soccer, 10 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Toronto FC vs CF Montreal these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Toronto FC | 47.8% |
| Draw | 24.8% |
| CF Montreal | 27.3% |
The model's most likely outcome — Toronto FC at 47.8% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Toronto FC vs CF Montreal analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- Toronto FC — Profile, squad and fixtures
- CF Montreal — Profile, squad and fixtures
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