Toronto FC vs New York City FC Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 29 August 2026
Toronto FC vs New York City FC finished 1-1 on 29 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Toronto FC 1-1 New York City FC.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 25.9% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Toronto FC 1-1 New York City FC in Major League Soccer, 29 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Toronto FC vs New York City FC these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Toronto FC | 40.8% |
| Draw | 25.9% |
| New York City FC | 33.3% |
The model made Toronto FC the most likely outcome at 40.8%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 25.9%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Toronto FC vs New York City FC analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- Toronto FC — Profile, squad and fixtures
- New York City FC — Profile, squad and fixtures
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