Toulouse vs Lyon Result: 0-2 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026

Toulouse vs Lyon finished 0-2 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Toulouse 0-2 Lyon.
Result: Lyon.
The model gave this outcome a 45.0% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Toulouse 0-2 Lyon in Ligue 1, 22 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Toulouse vs Lyon these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Toulouse	26.3%
Draw	28.7%
Lyon	45.0%

The model's most likely outcome — Lyon at 45.0% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Toulouse vs Lyon analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Ligue 1 table and fixtures
Toulouse — Profile, squad and fixtures
Lyon — Profile, squad and fixtures

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