Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna Result: 2-3 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026
Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna finished 2-3 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Villarreal 2-3 Deportivo La Coruna.
- Result: Deportivo La Coruna.
- The model gave this outcome a 17.1% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Villarreal 2-3 Deportivo La Coruna in La Liga, 5 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Villarreal | 61.8% |
| Draw | 21.1% |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 17.1% |
The model made Villarreal the most likely outcome at 61.8%. What happened was Deportivo La Coruna, which it gave 17.1%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- La Liga table and fixtures
- Villarreal — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Deportivo La Coruna — Profile, squad and fixtures
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