West Brom vs Burnley Result: 3-1 — How the Model Called It, 23 August 2026

West Brom vs Burnley finished 3-1 on 23 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: West Brom 3-1 Burnley.
Result: West Brom.
The model gave this outcome a 37.1% chance before kick-off.

Final score

West Brom 3-1 Burnley in Championship, 23 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave West Brom vs Burnley these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
West Brom	37.1%
Draw	30.8%
Burnley	32.1%

The model's most likely outcome — West Brom at 37.1% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full West Brom vs Burnley analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Championship table and fixtures
West Brom — Profile, squad and fixtures
Burnley — Profile, squad and fixtures

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