FOOTBALLChampionshipmatch-recap05/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model
West Ham vs Derby Result: 3-0 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026
West Ham vs Derby finished 3-0 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: West Ham 3-0 Derby.
- Result: West Ham.
- The model gave this outcome a 66.4% chance before kick-off.
Final score
West Ham 3-0 Derby in Championship, 5 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave West Ham vs Derby these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| West Ham | 66.4% |
| Draw | 19.5% |
| Derby | 14.1% |
The model's most likely outcome — West Ham at 66.4% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full West Ham vs Derby analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Championship table and fixtures
- West Ham — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Derby — Profile, squad and fixtures
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