FOOTBALLChampionshipmatch-recap14/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Wolves vs Bolton Result: 1-3 — How the Model Called It, 13 October 2026
Wolves vs Bolton finished 1-3 on 13 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Wolves 1-3 Bolton.
- Result: Bolton.
- The model gave this outcome a 15.6% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Wolves 1-3 Bolton in Championship, 13 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Wolves vs Bolton these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Wolves | 65.3% |
| Draw | 19.1% |
| Bolton | 15.6% |
The model made Wolves the most likely outcome at 65.3%. What happened was Bolton, which it gave 15.6%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Wolves vs Bolton analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Championship table and fixtures
- Wolves — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Bolton — Profile, squad and fixtures
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