FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap23/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon Result: 3-0 — How the Model Called It, 22 October 2026
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon finished 3-0 on 22 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon.
- Result: 1899 Hoffenheim.
- The model gave this outcome a 41.1% chance before kick-off.
Final score
1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon in UEFA Europa League, 22 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 41.1% |
| Draw | 23.4% |
| Lyon | 35.5% |
The model's most likely outcome — 1899 Hoffenheim at 41.1% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- 1899 Hoffenheim — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Lyon — Profile, squad and fixtures
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