FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap06/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model
AS Roma vs Atalanta Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026
AS Roma vs Atalanta finished 2-1 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: AS Roma 2-1 Atalanta.
- Result: AS Roma.
- The model gave this outcome a 47.3% chance before kick-off.
Final score
AS Roma 2-1 Atalanta in Serie A, 5 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave AS Roma vs Atalanta these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| AS Roma | 47.3% |
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Atalanta | 25.5% |
The model's most likely outcome — AS Roma at 47.3% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full AS Roma vs Atalanta analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- AS Roma — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Atalanta — Profile, squad and fixtures
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