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FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model

AS Roma vs Fiorentina Result: 4-0 — How the Model Called It, 24 August 2026

AS Roma vs Fiorentina finished 4-0 on 24 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina.
  • Result: AS Roma.
  • The model gave this outcome a 52.2% chance before kick-off.

Final score

AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina in Serie A, 24 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave AS Roma vs Fiorentina these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
AS Roma52.2%
Draw24.2%
Fiorentina23.6%

The model's most likely outcome — AS Roma at 52.2% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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AS Roma vs Fiorentina Result (24 August 2026): Final Score & Model Accuracy