FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
AS Roma vs Fiorentina Result: 4-0 — How the Model Called It, 24 August 2026
AS Roma vs Fiorentina finished 4-0 on 24 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina.
- Result: AS Roma.
- The model gave this outcome a 52.2% chance before kick-off.
Final score
AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina in Serie A, 24 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave AS Roma vs Fiorentina these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| AS Roma | 52.2% |
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Fiorentina | 23.6% |
The model's most likely outcome — AS Roma at 52.2% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full AS Roma vs Fiorentina analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- AS Roma — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Fiorentina — Profile, squad and fixtures
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