FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap18/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
AS Roma vs Genoa Result: 2-0 — How the Model Called It, 17 October 2026
AS Roma vs Genoa finished 2-0 on 17 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: AS Roma 2-0 Genoa.
- Result: AS Roma.
- The model gave this outcome a 63.2% chance before kick-off.
Final score
AS Roma 2-0 Genoa in Serie A, 17 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave AS Roma vs Genoa these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| AS Roma | 63.2% |
| Draw | 22.0% |
| Genoa | 14.8% |
The model's most likely outcome — AS Roma at 63.2% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full AS Roma vs Genoa analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- AS Roma — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Genoa — Profile, squad and fixtures
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