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FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap23/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 22 October 2026

Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace finished 2-2 on 22 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Beşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 23.3% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Beşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace in UEFA Europa League, 22 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Beşiktaş47.2%
Draw23.3%
Crystal Palace29.7%

The model made Beşiktaş the most likely outcome at 47.2%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 23.3%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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