Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction — Model Probabilities for 5 September 2026
MatchSense model probabilities for Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya on 5 September 2026. Form, the table and the head-to-head behind the numbers.
Key takeaways
- 3 further markets for this fixture are priced on the analysis page.
- Bhayangkara FC are 11th in the table, Persebaya Surabaya 7th.
- The estimate is revised when confirmed team sheets arrive.
Bhayangkara FC take on Persebaya Surabaya on 5 September 2026, 08:30 UTC in Liga 1. The MatchSense model is analysing this fixture; its probabilities appear here once published.
Bhayangkara FC sit 11th in the Liga 1 table on 2 points from 2 games, with Persebaya Surabaya 7th on 4 points.
What each side brings into this
Across their last 10, Bhayangkara FC show 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats, scoring 2.3 a game. Persebaya Surabaya stretch an unbeaten run of 6 into this one, scoring 2.5 a game.
Previous meetings
The two have met just twice in our records. They last met on 14 February 2026: Persebaya Surabaya 1-2 Bhayangkara FC, Bhayangkara FC taking it.
Beyond the match result, the model also prices 3 further markets for this fixture — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market, and a confidence band. Those sit on the match analysis page.
Where the numbers come from
Attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, the run of recent results, home advantage and who is fit all feed the estimate. The numbers are revised when confirmed lineups arrive, because one missing starter can move them several points.
The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.
Go deeper
- Full Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Liga 1 table and fixtures
- Bhayangkara FC — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Persebaya Surabaya — Profile, squad and fixtures
This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.
Frequently asked questions
When do Bhayangkara FC and Persebaya Surabaya play?
Kick-off is scheduled for 5 September 2026, 08:30 UTC in Liga 1.
Which markets are analysed for Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Alongside the match result shown on this page, the model prices 3 further markets — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market and a confidence band, on the match analysis page.
What happened the last time Bhayangkara FC played Persebaya Surabaya?
They last met on 14 February 2026, Persebaya Surabaya 1-2 Bhayangkara FC. Across both meetings, Bhayangkara FC have won 1, Persebaya Surabaya 0, with 1 drawn.
How reliable is this estimate?
The model is scored against past results, so a 60% probability has historically landed near 60% of the time. A single match remains uncertain.
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